Cognitive Bias Explorer

Declinism

Declinism is the belief that a society or institution is steadily getting worse. It often comes from comparing a fond memory of the past with the problems of the present.

In everyday life

An older neighbor insists kids today have no manners and things were better in his day, a complaint that people have made about the young for centuries.

Scrolling the news, you tell a friend the world is falling apart and everything was safer and saner when you were a kid, though you have never looked at any long-term data.

Why your mind does this

Imagining the past and the future is hard, so the brain uses the present as a template. Assuming things will stay roughly as they are now is a quick and usually workable guide. Making sense of events after the fact also helps us learn lessons and feel in control.

Its family, in 30 seconds: Projecting ourselves

How to spot it

Ask whether you are comparing the present with the real past or with a fond memory of it.

How to counter it

Look up long-term data on the issue, such as crime or health figures across several decades, before concluding things are worse.

Same family: Projecting ourselves

SourcesMastroianni & Gilbert (2023)Wikipedia

Cognitive Bias Explorer

Cognitive bias · Projecting ourselves

Declinism

Declinism is the belief that a society or institution is steadily getting worse. It often comes from comparing a fond memory of the past with the problems of the present.